tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5888314760091661875.post2339088960137122718..comments2023-11-03T03:52:37.873-05:00Comments on Cognitive Dissidence: Q & A on Last Week's Rasmussen Reports Poll: Burke vs. WalkerSomebody DO Something!http://www.blogger.com/profile/08717747685928127724noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5888314760091661875.post-1396387957782672392014-03-17T22:48:57.039-05:002014-03-17T22:48:57.039-05:00More bad news for Walker. He should have won a pol...More bad news for Walker. He should have won a poll running only on landlines and calling during a set block of time. Cue up the state income tax repeal! Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5888314760091661875.post-10578875534955599612014-03-17T17:53:27.697-05:002014-03-17T17:53:27.697-05:00There is one other thing that we know about this p...There is one other thing that we know about this poll: it also features <a href="http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/rasmussen-19034" rel="nofollow">Obama's approval rating</a>, which is:<br /><br />Strongly Approve: 21% <br />Somewhat Approve: 32% <br />Somewhat Disapprove: 9% <br />Strongly Disapprove: 36% <br />Undecided: 1%<br /><br />So 53-45 approval. The <a href="https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/MLSP19ToplinesForWeb.pdf" rel="nofollow">last Marquette poll</a>, from January, put it at 44.1-49.8.<br /><br />It's possible that Obama's net approval in Wisconsin has shifted 13 points in the last two months, but <a href="http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/obama-job-approval" rel="nofollow">nationally it has only improved by about 1 point during this time</a> and there haven't been any Wisconsin-specific Obama moves this year that could account for that.<br /><br />It could be the way that Rasmussen phrases the questions differently than Marquette (which seems unlikely given their historical performances on the Obama front), or it could be that Wisconsin is shifting towards the Democrats (which is conceivable given recent GOP antics and that Burke's campaign is finally going public) or it could be that by chance they happened to interview a greater fraction of Democrats than that which is the case for the voting population as a whole (which would explain both figures).<br /><br />So I wouldn't bet too much on Burke being tied or better right now. As ever, the best thing is to take Rasmussen with a large pinch of salt and wait to see whether other polls tell us similar stories or not.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5888314760091661875.post-71676537358195071082014-03-17T15:34:48.989-05:002014-03-17T15:34:48.989-05:00I agree with Anon @2:46...but you have critical th...I agree with Anon @2:46...but you have critical thinking skills. Many Republican voters stand with a criminal because they vote on ideology not what is best for managing our state. They are more worried about nullifying gay marriage than fracking. They are more worried about their 2nd Amendment right to own a gun but laugh at the singers in the Capitol using their 1st amendment rights. It is backwards, the WI Republican mentality. You cannot expect people with no common sense to make an informed decision at the poll - which includes anyone who stands with scott "get free out of jail card" walker. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5888314760091661875.post-47423998177248466062014-03-17T14:46:25.320-05:002014-03-17T14:46:25.320-05:00I'm not a huge Burke fan, but the below would ...I'm not a huge Burke fan, but the below would make a pretty compelling argument for her:<br /><br />Scott Walker:<br />Education - college drop out<br />Private Sector Experience - None<br />Profession - Professional Politician<br />State Government Experience - Governor of Wisconsin<br />Average Unemployment Rate - 7%<br />Number of Government Staff Charged with Felonies - four<br />Being investigate for illegal activities- Yes<br /><br />Marry Burke<br />Education - BS Georgetown University, MS Harvard<br />Private Sector Experience - 10 years managing Trek in Wisconsin<br />Profession - Executive/Businesswoman/Philanthropist<br />State Government Experience - Wisconsin Secretary of Commerce<br />Average Unemployment Rate - 4.75%<br />Number of Government Staff Charged of Felonies - 0<br />Being investigated for illegal activities - No <br /><br />Hmmm.....highly trained, private sector experience, successful job creation, no staff convicted of corruption, and isn't under investigation vs. a college drop-out who has overseen a state 37th in job growth, and has had staff convicted of stealing from veterans, misusing public property, and embezzlement....who would you hire?<br /><br /><br />That ad pretty much writes itself. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5888314760091661875.post-67875338433623203972014-03-17T10:22:04.089-05:002014-03-17T10:22:04.089-05:00I don't think that Republicans denying cancer ...I don't think that Republicans denying cancer patients oral chemotherapy will play very well with the older demographic. Just a hunch. Burke needs to hit that one hard. Please.Garethnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5888314760091661875.post-27587618007466579102014-03-17T09:39:03.532-05:002014-03-17T09:39:03.532-05:00Great article. One nit, though. Nate Silver is not...Great article. One nit, though. Nate Silver is not a pollster. He conducts statistical analysis of data that other people (e.g., pollsters) collect and makes (amazingly accurate) predictions. And he knows that Rasmussen is crap.Joe Rnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5888314760091661875.post-60598798141999712262014-03-17T08:48:29.498-05:002014-03-17T08:48:29.498-05:00I agree that Walker knows Burke can beat him and h...I agree that Walker knows Burke can beat him and he is doing everything possible to keep people from the polls - Voter ID, Denying Poor Patients Chemo (Dead people can't vote), Coordinating with AFP, MacIver, Bradley Foundation, Heritage Foundation to put up false ads, mail false absentee ballots and try to confuse inner city residents about the voting process. <br />I used to believe in Republicans - now I stand with John Doe. May the wrath of God strike down the Republican obstructionists with such force that WI will never allow such evil people to lead again.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com